Book: Fooled by Randomness
| posted by Dennis R. Mortensen Wednesday, October 10, 2007 |
When I commented on the book Freakonomics back in May – I had a bunch of entertaining comments about this being a book that had been out for years. With that I mind, I decided to continue my noticeably antique view of the world with a comment on an absolutely FANTASTIC book I read recently: Fooled by Randomness (2001) by Nassim Taleb.For those of you (who for some reason, like me, did not get to read this book when published) – Nassim Taleb is a mathematics and statistics adept trader, but perhaps more a philosopher who has out of the ordinary comments about probability, psychology and life.
This book should not be recommended reading for a web analyst or online marketer – but mandatory! I simply cannot recommend this enough and I will bring into play a handful of his thoughts over the next coming period. Such as:
.. and if the above subjects does not turn you on. It’s time to buy a Porsche.
The final question (for myself) - Am I fooled by randomness along with everybody else? hmmm :-)
Whatever the answer is -- GO READ THE BOOK!! -- I will question you in random aspects if I meet you in Washington (Emetrics) next week.
Cheers
Labels: Book, Book review, Causality, Data snooping, Fooled by Randomness, Monte Carlo simulations, Nassim Taleb, Path dependent outcome





